Research interview statistics round.

The third correlation

Standard

The question

A and B are 0.9 correlated, B and C are 0.9 correlated. What range is possible for the correlation of A and C?

Have a go before you open the solution. If you are stuck after a few minutes, the first paragraph below is usually enough of a nudge.

Show the worked solution

The answer

From 0.62 to 1.

Correlations are constrained because the correlation matrix must be positive semi-definite.

For three variables the bound is rho_AC between rho_AB times rho_BC minus sqrt((1 - rho_AB^2)(1 - rho_BC^2)) and the same product plus that root.

With both at 0.9 the product is 0.81 and the root term is 0.19, giving the interval 0.62 to 1.

The intuitive reading is that correlation is close to an angle between vectors: two vectors each close to B cannot be far from each other.

What it is testing

Whether you know correlation matrices carry geometric constraints.

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